Game of Thrones: Algorithm Seeks to Predict Who Will Die in the Final Season
Game of Thrones

Ah, Game of Thrones. The world is paralyzed, the memes won't stop flowing. Six episodes that fans will savor with great anxiety, and many doubts. For example: who will die this season? We know well that our friend George likes blood, and it's only a matter of time before some of our favorite characters end up six feet under. A team from the Technical University of Munich developed an algorithm with which it seeks to predict the next deaths in the series and the books. How good will it be?

Death is the most common currency in Game of Thrones. Let's say that now all the attention (or almost) is focused on the advance of the White Walkers, but every time the main families decided to slice each other up, they didn't think twice. Certain events were particularly brutal, from the Red Wedding to Oberyn's death, with unprecedented levels of violence. And the fans are afraid. Afraid that their favorite characters will be 'the next ones'. The eighth season is already among us, and only four episodes separate us from the end. Of course, the story will follow a different route in the books, but it's evident that this definitive stretch of Game of Thrones lacks dead people. Do you have your candidates? Why not compare them with an algorithm's?

Who will die in Game of Thrones

Game of Thrones: Algorithm Seeks to Predict Who Will Die in the Final Season
Tyrion is safe. Good.

A project created by students of the Technical University of Munich aims to feed an algorithm with details from the last seven seasons and from the Game of Thrones books, in an attempt to predict who will die. Both wikis (of the series and the texts) serve as essential sources, and in the first model they applied Bayesian inference, while in the second they trained a neural network. Age, gender, and social status are some of the processed factors, and they can yield very similar results, or extremely conflicting ones. For example: the algorithm believes Bronn is doomed, with a 94 percent chance of dying in the series, and a 98 percent chance in the books. On the other hand, Sansa carries a 73 percent chance in the series, but doesn't exceed 1 percent in the novels.

Game of Thrones: Algorithm Seeks to Predict Who Will Die in the Final Season
... but there isn't as much faith for Arya.

On the other side of the street we have Daenerys, Tyrion, Varys, Samwell Tarly, and Jaime Lannister as the main survivors, all below 5 percent. The site has a section dedicated to spoilers, where you can see the characters who have already died this season, and the percentage calculated by the algorithm. If you're a fan of the series, or you want to drive your friends even crazier with predictions, you can't miss this.

https://old.neoteo.com/game-of-thrones-una-red-neural-escribe-el-siguiente-libro-de-la-saga/

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